Enterprise & Industry

El Niño and climate change fuel record heat, 2025 could be worse

Europe's hottest two-month stretch ever recorded—and the worst may still be coming.

Deep Dive

Key Points
  • Europe's June-July heat wave was the hottest two-month period on record, and the US broke a 1936 Dust Bowl temperature record in July.
  • A rapidly intensifying El Niño, predicted to peak above 3.5°C, could become the strongest ever recorded and push 2025 temperatures even higher.
  • Climate change made a May heat wave 3.5°C warmer than a similar 1976 event, highlighting the amplified intensity of current heat.
  • El Niño's peak impact typically lags by months, meaning next year—not this one—may see the most extreme global temperatures.

Why It Matters

Businesses, cities, and energy systems must prepare for record heat, higher demand, and climate disruptions in 2025.

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