AI Safety

The Buy-or-Build Decision, Revisited: How Agentic AI Changes the Economics of Enterprise Software

New research debunks the 'SaaSocalypse'—most apps still better bought than built.

Deep Dive

David Klotz's arXiv paper (2604.26482) systematically re-evaluates the enterprise make-or-buy decision in the age of agentic AI—systems capable of autonomous code generation. Combining transaction cost economics and the resource-based view, Klotz analyzes seven canonical decision factors: cost, strategic differentiation, asset specificity, vendor lock-in, time-to-market, quality/compliance, and organizational capability. He argues that AI shifts the Make option from a pure hierarchy to a hybrid governance form that blends code ownership with external AI infrastructure dependency, fundamentally altering its economics and risk profile.

Klotz develops a typology of enterprise applications based on their sensitivity to AI-driven shifts. Commodity utilities and custom differentiating apps emerge as the strongest candidates for in-house building, as AI dramatically cuts development time and cost. However, regulated and mission-critical systems—where compliance, reliability, and auditability are paramount—remain firmly in the buy domain. The 'SaaSocalypse' narrative, which predicts AI will render most SaaS obsolete, is overstated: for the majority of enterprise categories, buying software still wins on risk-adjusted total cost of ownership.

Key Points
  • AI shifts the Make option from pure hierarchy to a hybrid governance model combining code ownership with external AI infrastructure dependency.
  • Seven decision factors analyzed: cost, strategic differentiation, asset specificity, vendor lock-in, time-to-market, quality/compliance, and organizational capability.
  • SaaSocalypse thesis overstated—only commodity utilities and custom differentiating apps are strong build candidates; regulated/mission-critical systems stay buy.

Why It Matters

CIOs can now systematically decide where agentic AI makes build cheaper—without falling for hype that SaaS is dead.