Should anyone’s “analysis” of extremely complex systems, such as geopolitics, be taken seriously? or, Does anyone take a 5 year old’s “analysis” of decently complex systems, like big city politics, seriously?

A viral post argues we should dismiss online geopolitical analysis with the same seriousness we'd give a 5-year-old analyzing city politics. The author posits the complexity gap between a city and geopolitics (100x-10,000x) mirrors the gap between a smart adult and a smart child. If no one takes a profoundly gifted 5-year-old's city analysis seriously, even with immense effort, then scaled-up online expert analysis deserves equal skepticism, sparking intense debate about expertise in the digital age.