New edge deletion algorithm cuts epidemic spread in SIS network models
Proven super-modular bound ensures optimal network intervention for disease control.
In a new paper, researchers Hoang and Duong tackle a classic problem: how to minimize the spread of an epidemic in a network by removing connections. They extend an existing edge deletion algorithm to the discrete SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) model, where individuals can be infected and recover multiple times. The key innovation is using a mean-field approximation to linearize the complex network dynamics into a deterministic SIS model. They analytically prove that the total number of infections over time is upper-bounded by a super-modular function. This mathematical property ensures that the greedy edge deletion algorithm is efficient—each step of removing the edge that gives the greatest reduction in the bound leads to near-optimal results.
To validate the theory, the authors ran simulations on synthetic Erdos-Renyi random networks and on real contact network data from the BBC Pandemic Haslemere app. In both cases, the algorithm successfully reduced cumulative infections, and the system converged to a stable, disease-free equilibrium. The experiments confirm that the super-modular bound is tight enough for practical use. For tech professionals, this work provides a rigorous, mathematically grounded tool for network intervention design—relevant for cybersecurity, social network moderation, or even supply chain resilience. The approach moves beyond heuristic manual edge cutting to a provable optimization framework.
- Greedy edge deletion algorithm for SIS model reduces cumulative infections by leveraging super-modular upper bounds.
- Mean-field approximation linearizes network dynamics, enabling analytical tractability of epidemic control.
- Tested on synthetic Erdos-Renyi graphs and real BBC Pandemic app data, achieving stable disease-free equilibrium.
Why It Matters
Network-based epidemic control gets a mathematically rigorous algorithm for strategic edge removal.