Manifold Markets shows 98% odds for Qwen3.5 release in Feb AI frenzy
Prediction markets assign high probabilities to major releases from Alibaba, OpenAI, and Google this month.
Deep Dive
Prediction platform Manifold Markets shows traders betting heavily on a wave of AI model releases in February 2026. Key bets include a 98% chance Alibaba's Qwen3.5 has already launched and high odds for new models from MiniMax, Kling, and Grok. This reflects intense industry competition and a rapid release cycle, with markets tracking announcements from OpenAI (GPT-5.3), Google (Gemini 3 Pro), and Anthropic (Claude variants).
Why It Matters
These prediction markets act as a real-time pulse on the breakneck pace of AI development, signaling what's coming next for developers and businesses.