AI Safety

Manifold spin off MNX, a real money decentralized market for AI-related bets. Includes levered prediction markets, perpetual futures

New platform lets traders bet on AI valuations, GPU prices, and benchmarks with leverage.

Deep Dive

Prediction market platform Manifold has spun off MNX, a decentralized exchange for real-money AI trading. The platform offers levered prediction markets and perpetual futures on assets like OpenAI/Anthropic valuations, Nvidia shares, and H100 rental prices. It runs on the MegaETH blockchain, handles 100k+ trades/second, and uses batch auctions to reduce high-frequency trading advantages. Users can now hedge or speculate on the entire AI value stack in one place.

Why It Matters

Provides financial infrastructure for the trillion-dollar AI sector, enabling hedging and price discovery for key assets.