AI Safety

Forecasting Dojo Meetup - Predicting in a Circle

Join the unique round-robin forecasting format to enhance collaboration!

Deep Dive

The Forecasting Dojo is set to host an engaging meetup titled 'Predicting in a Circle,' led by Vojtech Brynych. This event introduces a unique round-robin format where participants will take turns addressing a single forecasting question. Each participant will have 10 minutes to think out loud, decompose the question, and share their reasoning. As each person contributes, subsequent predictions become progressively more informed, enhancing the collective forecasting process.

Participants are encouraged to bring their own questions that they have not forecasted yet, making the session interactive and relevant. The meetup aims to create a collaborative atmosphere where individuals of all skill levels can enhance their forecasting abilities. The event will be conducted via a Discord video call, making it accessible to anyone interested in improving their predictive skills. This innovative approach to forecasting emphasizes learning through shared insights and collaborative thinking.

Key Points
  • Round-robin format allows each participant 10 minutes to contribute.
  • Focus on collaborative reasoning to improve forecasts progressively.
  • All skill levels are welcome, promoting inclusivity in learning.

Why It Matters

This innovative collaborative approach enhances forecasting skills across varying experience levels.