Reprogenetics as faster path to AGI safety than you think
Even with AGI in 15 years, reprogenetics can still massively reduce existential risks...
The author argues that reprogenetics—human germline genomic engineering—should be pursued aggressively, because accelerating it may be the best route to strong human intelligence amplification, which could help reduce existential risk from AGI. A common objection is that AGI will likely arrive within a decade or two, making reprogenetics too slow. The author concedes that if AGI comes within 15 years, reprogenetics is almost totally useless. But they push back, saying we shouldn't be confident in short timelines, that investing in HIA has strategic value, that a fast and good HIA trajectory might reduce the motivation to build AGI, that HIA can still have large impact even with short timelines, and that other adult HIA methods aren't obviously faster than reprogenetics.
- Reprogenetics could still reduce existential risks even if AGI arrives within 15 years
- Other HIA methods aren't obviously faster than reprogenetics, despite short AGI timelines
- HIA could indirectly slow AGI development and has altruistic alpha for funding
Why It Matters
Reprogenetics might be a more viable path to AGI safety than assumed, even with aggressive AGI timelines.