Research & Papers

EpiNarrate: Agentic AI turns messy outbreak data into trustworthy health reports

New framework separates math from language to cut inconsistencies in epidemic narratives.

Deep Dive

EpiNarrate, developed by Rituparna Datta and eight co-authors, tackles a critical pain point in public health communication: translating high-dimensional ensemble projections from models like the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub into clear, accurate, and context-rich narratives. Instead of feeding raw numbers directly into a large language model (LLM)―which often leads to inconsistencies, omissions, or fragile outputs―EpiNarrate uses an agentic framework that first extracts scenario axes and organizes them into a partial-order schema. This enables systematic traversal of the multidimensional space (covering intervention assumptions, geography, demographics, outcomes, time horizons, and uncertainty quantiles). It then builds an augmented dataset and applies a comparison grammar that enforces both semantic and arithmetic consistency when generating quantitative statements.

To avoid redundancy while maximizing coverage, the framework employs an interestingness-driven selection mechanism grounded in maximum-entropy principles. In experiments, EpiNarrate generated narratives that were not only factually more accurate than naive LLM summaries but also covered a broader range of salient epidemiological patterns. The output style closely resembles that of expert-written reports, making it suitable for policymakers and the general public. The paper is available on arXiv (ID: 2607.15544) and marks a notable step in applying agentic AI to structured data-to-text problems in high-stakes domains like public health.

Key Points
  • Separates numerical reasoning from language generation to reduce LLM hallucinations on epidemiological data.
  • Uses a partial-order schema and comparison grammar for consistent, arithmetic-accurate quantitative statements.
  • Achieves better factual grounding and coverage than direct LLM summarization on the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub.

Why It Matters

Helps policymakers and the public get clearer, more reliable outbreak narratives from complex model projections.

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