AI Safety

Come to Manifest 2026! (June 12-14)

The niche intellectual festival for prediction markets, AI safety, and rationality opens ticket sales for June 12-14.

Deep Dive

Manifest, the intellectual festival centered on prediction markets and niche online communities, has announced its 2026 event dates. Organized by Winter Ku and Austin Chen, the gathering will return to Lighthaven in Berkeley, California from June 12-14. Early bird tickets are available until April 18. The event, which describes itself as "ostensibly about prediction markets, but secretly about connecting," expects to draw 500-650 attendees from fields including AI & AI safety, forecasting, rationality, effective altruism, economics, and tech.

Building on feedback from 2025, the 2026 edition promises a focus on high session quality, curated attendees, and structured networking. The schedule will feature talks from past speakers like Scott Alexander and Gwern, unique events like a prediction market game show called 'Nash Pit,' a startup pitch competition, and a public career fair on opening night. The organizers are actively seeking suggestions for speakers and sponsors, positioning the event as a key nexus for professionals and thinkers at the intersection of technology, forecasting, and novel ideas.

Key Points
  • Event runs June 12-14, 2026 at Lighthaven in Berkeley, CA, with early bird tickets until April 18.
  • Targets 500-650 attendees from AI safety, forecasting, rationality, and tech, featuring a public career fair on June 12.
  • Builds on 2025 events like the 'Nash Pit' game show and talks from figures like Scott Alexander and Anthropic's Sholto Douglas.

Why It Matters

Serves as a major convergence point for AI safety researchers, forecasters, and tech builders, fostering collaboration and recruitment in a critical field.