AI Safety

New Book Warns AI Could Make Your Job Obsolete — Fast

⚡One chart shows 90% of horses gone in 20 years. Sound familiar?

Deep Dive

A new book called "Obsolete: The AI Industry's Trillion Dollar Race to Replace Us? and How to Stop It" asks a blunt question: what happens to ordinary workers if AI keeps improving? Author Garrison Lovely's most striking example is the horse. For 120 years, engines got slowly better while horses kept working and barely noticed. Then between 1930 and 1950, horse numbers collapsed by nearly 90% in about two decades. Steady progress, sudden obsolescence. Lovely argues AI could do the same to a lot of jobs, and faster.

His book also tackles the popular question: why not just unplug a dangerous AI? His answer is a real event. In November 2023, the board of OpenAI tried to fire its own CEO, Sam Altman, and failed within days as staff and investors pushed back. If humans can't switch off a person at an AI company, he suggests, switching off a runaway AI may be even harder. The reviewer agrees this is a strong point.

The book's bigger worry isn't only a sci-fi apocalypse — it's power. Lovely fears a handful of companies and billionaires controlling the technology everyone depends on. He proposes breaking up big AI firms using antitrust law, the same tool used against phone and oil monopolies. The reviewer pushes back hard: smaller, more competitive AI companies would make AI cheaper, which could actually speed up replacing workers and spread drone armies to more countries. He also argues China isn't mainly copying US AI — it's racing toward practical uses like robotics, where it already leads.

The reviewer calls the book mostly good but uneven, aimed at a broad audience, with a few distracting political jabs and off-topic sections. Still, the core warning lands: the danger isn't only robots taking over, it's who owns the robots — and how quickly the rest of us become the horses.

Key Points
  • The book "Obsolete" compares AI's effect on workers to horses after cars arrived — quiet for decades, then a 90% collapse in just 20 years.
  • It points to OpenAI's failed attempt to fire CEO Sam Altman in 2023 as proof that turning off powerful AI is harder than it sounds.
  • The reviewer disagrees with the book's fix of breaking up AI companies, warning cheaper AI could replace workers faster and put drone armies in more hands.

Why It Matters

Your job may not vanish slowly — it could shift suddenly, so plan ahead now.

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