Asean members warm towards Myanmar, raising hopes it could come in from the cold

Sentiment among some Southeast Asian nations is shifting towards reducing Myanmar's diplomatic isolation, five years after the military coup that plunged the country into civil conflict. During the ASEAN summit in the Philippines, Secretary General Kao Kim Hourn revealed that foreign ministers have consented to a virtual meeting with Myanmar's foreign minister in the near future. This marks a potential thaw in relations, as Myanmar has indicated willingness to normalize ties with the 11-member bloc. However, ASEAN neighbors are demanding concrete steps on de-escalation of violence, inclusive political dialogue, and humanitarian aid access before broader reintegration.

Discussions are also ongoing about appointing a special envoy for Myanmar with a mandate extending beyond the customary one-year term, though Kao noted unresolved “adverse issues” without elaboration. The move comes amid growing regional fatigue over the prolonged crisis, which has seen over 3 million people displaced and the economy in tatters. Thailand’s recent engagement with Myanmar’s junta chief Min Aung Hlaing has signaled a shift, but critics warn that premature normalization could legitimize the junta without accountability. The virtual meeting, while symbolic, represents the first high-level contact in years and could pave the way for incremental diplomatic engagement if Myanmar meets preconditions.